Premier League Fixtures and Survivor Odds
Premier League gameweeks, kickoff times and results.
Not sure who to pick this week?
See the safest survivor picks ranked by form, home advantage and opponent.
EvertonvChelsea
EVE 31%Draw 26%CHE 43%EVE57% to surviveCHE69% to survive
FulhamvHull City
FUL 57%Draw 21%HUL 22%FUL78% to surviveHUL43% to survive
Man CityvIpswich Town
MCI 80%Draw 14%IPS 6%MCI94% to surviveIPS20% to survive
BrentfordvLiverpool
BRE 24%Draw 22%LIV 54%BRE46% to surviveLIV76% to survive
NewcastlevAston Villa
NEW 50%Draw 23%AVL 27%NEW73% to surviveAVL50% to survive
BournemouthvSunderland
BOU 62%Draw 19%SUN 19%BOU81% to surviveSUN38% to survive
Brighton HovevCrystal Palace
BHA 55%Draw 22%CRY 23%BHA77% to surviveCRY45% to survive
Leeds UnitedvMan United
LEE 29%Draw 25%MUN 46%LEE54% to surviveMUN71% to survive
NottinghamvArsenal
NOT 20%Draw 20%ARS 60%NOT40% to surviveARS80% to survive
TottenhamvCoventry City
TOT 69%Draw 17%COV 14%TOT86% to surviveCOV31% to survive
Chances come from average bookmaker prices where available, otherwise our own estimate from this season's results and home advantage. "Survive" is win or draw, the only result that matters in Survivor. Form shows each club's last five completed league games (oldest to newest).
How to read the Premier League fixtures in a last man standing league
In a normal fixture list you look for the winner. In a survivor league you are looking for the game least likely to end in a defeat for your pick, which is a different question entirely. A strong side away at a well-organised mid-table team is often a worse survivor bet than a solid home side hosting a struggling club, even though the bookmakers make the first team more likely to win.
Three things move the needle most. Home advantage is still worth roughly a third of a goal across a Premier League season, so a home fixture materially lifts the chance of avoiding defeat. Opponent quality matters less than opponent shape — sides that sit deep and defend concede fewer surprise results than open, attacking teams. And congestion counts: clubs playing European football midweek, or arriving off a long away trip, drop points at a noticeably higher rate.
Kickoff times matter for a practical reason too. Your pick locks at the first kickoff of the gameweek, so a Friday night fixture shortens your deadline for the whole week. If your league runs on WhatsApp, that Friday game is the moment to nudge anyone who has not picked yet.
One last habit that separates the players who last until spring: plan two or three gameweeks ahead rather than one. Because you can only use each club once, spending a title contender on an easy home game in Gameweek 5 can leave you short of safe options in the busy December run of matches. Scan the fixture list for the weeks where the big sides all face each other, and save a couple of dependable clubs for exactly those weeks.
Keep reading
- Who to pick this weekSafest survivor picks for the current gameweek, ranked from our own data.
- Last man standing rulesEvery rule, plus draws, postponements, missed picks and deadlines explained.
- Survivor plannerMap out your picks for the next six gameweeks without using a team twice.
- Premier League team guidesEvery club: manager, style, form and how often they avoid defeat.
- Premier League newsInjuries, team news and headlines before you lock in.
- How it worksThe rules of a survivor league in 60 seconds.
